Why are mobile coverage maps so bad?

Mobile operators are notoriously reluctant to release useful coverage information. Individual operator coverage maps are generally useless. Airtel Zambia is a classic example – as you zoom in the map abandons any hope of showing coverage and just highlights specific spots where there is (may be?) coverage:

Most coverage maps exaggerate coverage dramatically. The GSMA’s Mobile Coverage Maps use a really large radius for 4G of over 20km’s. In interviews with operators, the consensus for rural areas is around 8km, depending on factors such as terrain and population density. 

 4G3G2G
Radius8km10km15km

Accuracy is important for two reasons: 

  • Broadband connectivity has massive benefits in terms of economic growth, productivity and employment; 
  • Connectivity, especially in Africa, is still limited and many unconnected areas are on the border of commercial viability. 

Combined coverage maps showing all operators infrastructure can show where investment is needed from both a public and private point of view: for government, where incentives might be needed for commercially non-viable areas and for private operators, where opportunities might exist. It’s a win-win for all. 

One of the obstacles is the lack of a standard approach. Signal strength, range (or radius), download speeds are all up for debate. The Uganda Communications Commission (UCC) has just released its attempt at standardizing submissions from operators. In its public consultation document, the coverage standard is “a minimum received signal strength of -90 dBm in at least 90% of the area as determined through prediction analysis”. But the document doesn’t address radius nor does it explain why -90 dBm is an appropriate signal strength. One of the few studies that investigates signal strength is from Ofcom in 2015. Ofcom found that handset sensitivity in free space – when a person is not holding the phone – were very similar to GSMA recommendations. But when Ofcom tested scenarios where the handset was held next a person’s head, the performance degraded significantly (fourth column in the table below). 

BandGSMA recommendations (free space) in dBmGSMA recommendations (Handset) in dBmOfcom measurements holding phone (average) in dBm
GSM 900-103-95-90
GSM 1800-104-99-95
3G 2100-106-101-102
3G 900-104-96-94
4G 1800-94-89-87
4G 2600-94-89-84
4G 800-93.5-85-84

What’s needed is a standardized, open approach to coverage maps, based on signal strength as well as range or radius. Here’s our proposal – based on Ofcom’s findings and operator interviews – for building a coverage map, but we desperately need to develop a consensus-based open data standard!  

BandSignal Strength (dBm)Radius (km)
GSM 900-9015
GSM 1800-9512
3G 900-9410
3G 2100-1028
4G 800-848
4G 1800-876
4G 2600-846
Other news from around Africa
  • DRC telecom tax chaos: The government of the DRC has confiscated the passports of several executives of mobile operators Orange, Airtel, Vodacom and Africell on the basis that these companies haven’t paid the new ICT taxes. The taxes are $0.0075 per minute of talk-time, $0.003 per short message text and $0.00005 per megabit of data consumed. 
  • New mobile operator in Malawi: Malcel is the third operator in Malawi and scheduled to launch officially in 2023. 
  • ICASA and regulatory capture: The CEO of ICASA leaves on the 31st of August and starts his new position at MTN on the 1st of September. No cooling off period at all. Crazy. 
  • Starlink and universal coverage: Starling and T-mobile have launched a new product that will give T-mobile customers access in nearly all parts of the USA on their handset even when there is no cell coverage. Is this an indicator for the rest of the world?